Thursday, October 13, 2011

Tim Tebow is my Savior?

My strategy this year was to wait on starting QB, get a couple of mid-value guys, then shuffle them in-and-out of the lineup depending on the weekly matchup.

I felt pretty good about coming away with Joe Flacco and Jay Cutler.  What a mistake.  Cutler, through no fault of his own, cannot stay upright.  And Flacco has been mediocre.  On a weekly basis, I feel that I am already down 10 points to my opponents going into any matchup.  Hell, they could have Rex Grossman going and I still don't feel confident that Flacco or Cutler will post 20 plus points (we get 6 points for any TD in our league). 

Therein lies my strategic problem.  With the value of TD's at 6 points, QB is vital to success in our league. 

Okay, hindsight is 20/20.  What to do now? 

Call in the Savior...Tim Tebow.  Granted, I have to wait another week, but he could be this fantasy season's Michael Vick.  This is for fantasy, I don't give a crap if Denver losses the rest of their games.  I just want Tim "Fantasy Savior" Tebow out there, running, throwing, catching, punting, kicking, tackling...whatever it takes to score points.

In limited action last weekend, he put up 17 fantasy points in a standard scoring league.  In my league, that would have been good for 18 points.  In one half!!!  Last season he averaged 25 points per game in the last 3 games of the season (in my league, it was slightly better at 28.33 ppg). 

So, I am going with Tebow.  My season may be over (I have Andre Johnson as my #1 point-getter.  Ouch.), so at least I can holdover Tebow for next-to-nothing for next year. 

Tebow in 2012.  I like the sound of that.

Wednesday, October 12, 2011

When to throw in the towel?

For those of us in leagues that have holdovers and are 1-4 or 0-5, when is the time to start trolling for holdovers?

In my money league, not only am I off to a slow start at 1-4, but my best player guessed it Andre Johnson.  The same Andre Johnson that cost me over 25% of my budget and is out for who knows how long.  The rest of my lineup is suspect, too.  Cutler/Flacco at QB, Cedric Benson at RB, Brandon Lloyd as my number 2 WR. 

I have already been offered Jamaal Charles straight up, he would only cost me $16 or less than 10% of my budget next year.  If I were 0-5, I would probably take that deal and start planning for next year.  However, I think I'll stick it out until I get to 6 losses.  That could happen very soon, of course, but we will see.

I think everyone should stick with it until they get to the 6 loss week 7.  I have seen teams run off 5, 6, or even 7 game winning streaks.  Anything can happen.  Say you started out 1-4 or 0-5, then run off 6 straight?  You are back in it! 

Friday, October 7, 2011

The Talented Mr. Ridley...Stevan Ridley

Sneaky Pick?  I don't think so any more.  Everyone saw what Stevan Ridley could do in the preseason and we all got a bigger peak at his potential this past Sunday against the Oakland Raiders. 

What we are seeing is the beginning of another Faulk era in football.  And not the estimitable Kevin of New England and LSU fame.  No.  This could be another Marshall of NFL HOF, Indianapolis Colts and St. Louis Rams fame. 

With Danny Woodhead banged up, this increases Faulk, er Ridley's playing time.  BenJarvis Green-Ellis will still get 10 to 15 carries, but this New Era Faulk will get 12 carries and 4 catches this weekend and has the breakaway ability to score one from 60 plus yards out.  Conservatively, we are looking at 8 fantasy points.  Aggressively, 18 with a line of 12 carries for 100 yards, 4 catches for 20, and the long gainer TD for another 6 points. 

Risky play?  Maybe, but if you have a spot on your roster and if you are in a holdover or dynasty league, grab Ridley now and thank me later.

Tuesday, October 4, 2011

Andre Johnson Replacements?

Bryant Johnson? 
Jacoby Jones?
Kevin Walter?

I think that Jacoby Jones will take on the position, but Walter gets more looks now that Andre Johnson is hurt.  That said, I would not burn a move or drop a Nate (Burleson or Washington) in doing so. 

Andre Johnson will be back within a couple of weeks.